Trump-voting states are at highest risk for export losses if the USMCA ends

US states are at different levels of economic risk if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is terminated and Canada and Mexico impose retaliatory tariffs on US exports. This chart shows each state's exports to Canada and Mexico as a share of the state's total exports to the world and for which candidate each state voted in the 2024 presidential election. Nine of the ten states with the highest share of exports to Canada and Mexico as a share of the state's total exports voted for Donald Trump in 2024—Idaho, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Ohio, South…